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A re-dividing nation? A newly polarised electoral geography of Great Britain

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A re-dividing nation? A newly polarised electoral geography of Great Britain. / Johnston, Ron; Pattie, Charles; Rossiter, David.

In: British Politics, Vol. 12, No. 521-535, 14.11.2017, p. 521-535.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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Johnston, R, Pattie, C & Rossiter, D 2017, 'A re-dividing nation? A newly polarised electoral geography of Great Britain', British Politics, vol. 12, no. 521-535, pp. 521-535. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41293-017-0052-x

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Johnston, Ron ; Pattie, Charles ; Rossiter, David. / A re-dividing nation? A newly polarised electoral geography of Great Britain. In: British Politics. 2017 ; Vol. 12, No. 521-535. pp. 521-535.

Bibtex

@article{0da3fcb0e9fe494ebeeb24f138987bef,
title = "A re-dividing nation? A newly polarised electoral geography of Great Britain",
abstract = "One feature of the result of the 2015 British general election was the reduction, to a level lower than at any time since 1945, in the number of marginal constituencies. This paper shows that the main reason for this was the change in the level and pattern of support then for the country’s smaller parties, compared to the previous election in 2010. Although support for the two largest parties—Conservative and Labour—changed very little, the 2015 result nevertheless meant that each had fewer marginal seats to defend and more safe seats where its continued incumbency was virtually assured. After the 2015 election, Labour’s chances of becoming the largest, let alone the majority, party in the House of Commons were slight unless it achieves a swing of some six percentage points.",
keywords = "Electoral geography, Marginal and safe seats, Spatial polarisation",
author = "Ron Johnston and Charles Pattie and David Rossiter",
year = "2017",
month = "11",
day = "14",
doi = "10.1057/s41293-017-0052-x",
language = "English",
volume = "12",
pages = "521--535",
journal = "British Politics",
issn = "1746-918X",
publisher = "Palgrave Macmillan",
number = "521-535",

}

RIS - suitable for import to EndNote

TY - JOUR

T1 - A re-dividing nation? A newly polarised electoral geography of Great Britain

AU - Johnston, Ron

AU - Pattie, Charles

AU - Rossiter, David

PY - 2017/11/14

Y1 - 2017/11/14

N2 - One feature of the result of the 2015 British general election was the reduction, to a level lower than at any time since 1945, in the number of marginal constituencies. This paper shows that the main reason for this was the change in the level and pattern of support then for the country’s smaller parties, compared to the previous election in 2010. Although support for the two largest parties—Conservative and Labour—changed very little, the 2015 result nevertheless meant that each had fewer marginal seats to defend and more safe seats where its continued incumbency was virtually assured. After the 2015 election, Labour’s chances of becoming the largest, let alone the majority, party in the House of Commons were slight unless it achieves a swing of some six percentage points.

AB - One feature of the result of the 2015 British general election was the reduction, to a level lower than at any time since 1945, in the number of marginal constituencies. This paper shows that the main reason for this was the change in the level and pattern of support then for the country’s smaller parties, compared to the previous election in 2010. Although support for the two largest parties—Conservative and Labour—changed very little, the 2015 result nevertheless meant that each had fewer marginal seats to defend and more safe seats where its continued incumbency was virtually assured. After the 2015 election, Labour’s chances of becoming the largest, let alone the majority, party in the House of Commons were slight unless it achieves a swing of some six percentage points.

KW - Electoral geography

KW - Marginal and safe seats

KW - Spatial polarisation

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85018408703&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1057/s41293-017-0052-x

DO - 10.1057/s41293-017-0052-x

M3 - Article

VL - 12

SP - 521

EP - 535

JO - British Politics

JF - British Politics

SN - 1746-918X

IS - 521-535

ER -