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Bias correction of daily precipitation over South Korea from the Long-Term Reanalysis using a Composite Gamma-Pareto Distribution Approach

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Original languageEnglish
Article numbernh2019127
Pages (from-to)1138-1161
Number of pages24
JournalHydrology Research
Volume50
Issue number4
Early online date4 Apr 2019
DOIs
DateAccepted/In press - 15 Feb 2019
DateE-pub ahead of print - 4 Apr 2019
DatePublished (current) - 1 Aug 2019

Abstract

Long-term precipitation data plays an important role in climate impact studies, but the observation for a given catchment is very limited. To significantly expand our sample size for the extreme rainfall analysis, we considered ERA-20c, a century-long reanalysis daily precipitation provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Preliminary studies have already indicated that ERA-20c can reproduce the mean reasonably well, but rainfall intensity is underestimated while wet-day frequency is overestimated. Thus, we first adopted a relatively simple approach to adjust the frequency of wet-days by imposing an optimal threshold. Moreover, we introduced a quantile mapping approach based on a composite distribution of a generalized Pareto distribution for the upper tail (e.g. 95th and 99th percentile), and a gamma distribution for the interior part of the distribution. The proposed composite distributions provide a significant reduction of the biases over the conventional method for the extremes. We suggested an interpolation method for the set of parameters of bias correction approach in ungauged catchments. A comparison of the corrected precipitation using spatially interpolated parameters shows that the proposed modelling scheme, particularly with the 99th percentile, can reliably reduce the systematic bias.

    Research areas

  • Composite distribution, ERA-20c, Parameter contour map, Quantile mapping, Reanalysis, Statistical bias correction

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  • Full-text PDF (accepted author manuscript)

    Rights statement: This is the author accepted manuscript (AAM). The final published version (version of record) is available online via IWA at https://iwaponline.com/hr/article-abstract/doi/10.2166/nh.2019.127/66753/Bias-correction-of-daily-precipitation-over-South?redirectedFrom=fulltext. Please refer to any applicable terms of use of the publisher.

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