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Risk assessment scales to predict risk of hospital treated repeat self-harm: A cost-effectiveness modelling analysis

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  • Leah Quinlivan
  • Sarah Steeg
  • Jamie Elvidge
  • Rebecca Nowland
  • Linda Davies
  • Keith Hawton
  • David Gunnell
  • Nav Kapur
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)208-215
Number of pages8
JournalJournal of Affective Disorders
Volume249
Early online date11 Feb 2019
DOIs
DateAccepted/In press - 11 Feb 2019
DateE-pub ahead of print - 11 Feb 2019
DatePublished (current) - 15 Apr 2019

Abstract

Background: Risk scales are used widely for assessing individuals presenting to Emergency Departments (EDs) following self-harm. There is growing evidence that risk scales have limited clinical utility in identifying episodes at highest risk of repeat self-harm. However, their cost-effectiveness in terms of treatment allocation and subsequent repeat self-harm is unknown. We aimed to examine the cost-effectiveness of five risk scales (SAD PERSONS Scale, Modified SAD PERSONS Scale, ReACT Self-Harm Rule, Manchester Self-Harm Rule, Barratt Impulsivity Scale) and single item clinician and patient ratings of risk.
Method: Quality-Adjusted Life Years were estimated for each episode. The five risk scales and the patient rating were compared to the clinician rating. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were estimated for each scale, using a range of ICER thresholds. Sensitivity analysis explored different model assumptions.
Results: The formal scales were less cost-effective than the clinician and patient ratings across a range of ICER thresholds (£0-£30,000). The five scales were also less cost-effective than the clinician rating in most alternative scenario analyses. However, the clinician rating would be likely to result in unnecessary treatment costs for over half of patients identified as high risk.
Limitations: Our primary model depended on the assumption that high-intensity care reduced patients’ risk of further self-harm.  
Conclusion: The use of formal assessment tools for managing self-harm presentations to EDs did not appear to be cost-effective. While the judgement of a mental health clinician was found to be slightly more cost-effective, it still resulted in incorrect allocation of costs and missed treatment opportunities.

    Research areas

  • self-harm, risk scales, economic evaluation, emergency services, suicidal behaviour

Documents

Documents

  • Full-text PDF (accepted author manuscript)

    Rights statement: This is the final published version of the article (version of record). It first appeared online via Elsevier at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2019.02.036 . Please refer to any applicable terms of use of the publisher.

    Accepted author manuscript, 463 KB, PDF-document

    Embargo ends: 11/02/20

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